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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

13:00

Venue

Stade de l'Aube

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estac Troyes Win

49%

Estac Troyes

2.05

27%

Draw

3.77

25%

Caen

4.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

2 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

Estac Troyes xG

Total xG

2.41

0.95

Caen xG

49%
27%
25%
Estac TroyesDrawCaen

2.05

49%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

4.05

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

39%

Estac Troyes

2.59

23%

Caen

4.28

Win to Nil

19%

Estac Troyes

5.32

6%

Caen

17.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 8.6 4.1 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 13.1 12.5 5.9 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.5 9.1 4.3 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 4.6 4.4 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.7 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.454
λ Away (xG) 0.953
Total xG 2.407
League avg home goals 1.296
League avg away goals 1.009
Estac Troyes attack strength 0.916
Estac Troyes defence strength 0.954
Caen attack strength 0.990
Caen defence strength 1.225
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58