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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Fri 28 Feb 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade de l'Aube

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estac Troyes Win

42%

Estac Troyes

2.40

31%

Draw

3.27

28%

Bastia

3.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.4%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.7%

Draw

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

Estac Troyes xG

Total xG

1.99

0.86

Bastia xG

42%
31%
28%
Estac TroyesDrawBastia

2.40

42%

Home win

3.27

31%

Draw

3.61

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.56

61%

BTTS No

1.64

Clean Sheet

42%

Estac Troyes

2.37

32%

Bastia

3.09

Win to Nil

18%

Estac Troyes

5.67

9%

Bastia

11.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.7 11.8 5.1 1.5 0.3 0.1
1 15.4 13.3 5.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 8.7 7.5 3.2 0.9 0.2
3 3.3 2.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.129
λ Away (xG) 0.861
Total xG 1.990
League avg home goals 1.219
League avg away goals 1.057
Estac Troyes attack strength 0.962
Estac Troyes defence strength 0.891
Bastia attack strength 0.914
Bastia defence strength 0.963
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62