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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Fri 26 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade de l'Aube

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estac Troyes Win

58%

Estac Troyes

1.74

23%

Draw

4.35

20%

Annecy

5.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

2 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

Estac Troyes xG

Total xG

2.75

0.94

Annecy xG

58%
23%
20%
Estac TroyesDrawAnnecy

1.74

58%

Home win

4.35

23%

Draw

5.13

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

39%

Estac Troyes

2.57

17%

Annecy

6.06

Win to Nil

22%

Estac Troyes

4.47

3%

Annecy

31.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 6.1 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 11.6 10.9 5.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.4 9.8 4.6 1.5 0.3 0.1
3 6.3 5.9 2.8 0.9 0.2
4 2.8 2.7 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.801
λ Away (xG) 0.944
Total xG 2.745
League avg home goals 1.273
League avg away goals 1.233
Estac Troyes attack strength 1.449
Estac Troyes defence strength 0.818
Annecy attack strength 0.936
Annecy defence strength 0.977
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41