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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Estac Troyes Win
48%
2.06
28%
3.54
23%
4.29
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.3%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.7%
Draw
0 – 0
11.5%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.33
Estac Troyes xG
Total xG
2.16
0.83
Ajaccio xG
Estac TroyesDrawAjaccio
2.06
48%
Home win
3.54
28%
Draw
4.29
23%
Away win
Goals Markets
64%
Over 1.5
1.56
36%
Under 1.5
2.78
37%
Over 2.5
2.70
63%
Under 2.5
1.59
17%
Over 3.5
5.88
83%
Under 3.5
1.20
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
41%
BTTS Yes
2.41
59%
BTTS No
1.71
Clean Sheet
44%
2.29
26%
3.78
Win to Nil
21%
4.73
6%
16.22
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.5 | 9.6 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 15.3 | 12.7 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.2 | 8.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.331
λ Away (xG)
0.830
Total xG
2.161
League avg home goals
1.405
League avg away goals
1.039
Estac Troyes attack strength
0.901
Estac Troyes defence strength
0.959
Ajaccio attack strength
0.833
Ajaccio defence strength
1.051
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
67 / 67