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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Fri 19 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Marcel Tribut

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Dunkerque Win

53%

Dunkerque

1.88

23%

Draw

4.34

24%

Le Mans

4.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.81

Dunkerque xG

Total xG

2.96

1.14

Le Mans xG

53%
23%
24%
DunkerqueDrawLe Mans

1.88

53%

Home win

4.34

23%

Draw

4.19

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.33

Clean Sheet

32%

Dunkerque

3.13

16%

Le Mans

6.14

Win to Nil

17%

Dunkerque

5.90

4%

Le Mans

25.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 5.9 3.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 9.4 10.8 6.2 2.3 0.7 0.2
2 8.6 9.8 5.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 5.2 5.9 3.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 2.4 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.815
λ Away (xG) 1.142
Total xG 2.957
League avg home goals 1.243
League avg away goals 1.061
Dunkerque attack strength 1.143
Dunkerque defence strength 1.150
Le Mans attack strength 0.936
Le Mans defence strength 1.277
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 5