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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Promotion Play-offs - 1st Round

Kick-off

Wed 14 May 2025

19:30

Venue

Stade Marcel-Tribut

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Dunkerque Win

49%

Dunkerque

2.05

25%

Draw

4.05

27%

Guingamp

3.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Dunkerque xG

Total xG

2.75

1.13

Guingamp xG

49%
25%
27%
DunkerqueDrawGuingamp

2.05

49%

Home win

4.05

25%

Draw

3.75

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

32%

Dunkerque

3.10

20%

Guingamp

5.05

Win to Nil

16%

Dunkerque

6.38

5%

Guingamp

18.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 7.2 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 10.3 11.7 6.6 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.4 9.5 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 4.5 5.1 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.8 2.1 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.619
λ Away (xG) 1.133
Total xG 2.752
League avg home goals 1.480
League avg away goals 1.118
Dunkerque attack strength 1.012
Dunkerque defence strength 0.799
Guingamp attack strength 1.268
Guingamp defence strength 1.081
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72