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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Mon 16 Dec 2024

19:45

Venue

Stade Marcel-Tribut

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Dunkerque Win

55%

Dunkerque

1.82

24%

Draw

4.09

20%

Caen

4.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

2 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.65

Dunkerque xG

Total xG

2.55

0.90

Caen xG

55%
24%
20%
DunkerqueDrawCaen

1.82

55%

Home win

4.09

24%

Draw

4.88

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

41%

Dunkerque

2.46

19%

Caen

5.21

Win to Nil

22%

Dunkerque

4.48

4%

Caen

25.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 7.0 3.2 1.0 0.2
1 12.9 11.6 5.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.6 9.6 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 5.8 5.3 2.4 0.7 0.2
4 2.4 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.651
λ Away (xG) 0.902
Total xG 2.553
League avg home goals 1.397
League avg away goals 0.975
Dunkerque attack strength 1.108
Dunkerque defence strength 0.963
Caen attack strength 0.960
Caen defence strength 1.067
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53