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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Fri 20 Feb 2026

19:00

Venue

Stade Marcel Tribut

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Dunkerque Win

43%

Dunkerque

2.33

32%

Draw

3.10

25%

Bastia

4.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.7%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

16.6%

Draw

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.06

Dunkerque xG

Total xG

1.79

0.73

Bastia xG

43%
32%
25%
DunkerqueDrawBastia

2.33

43%

Home win

3.10

32%

Draw

4.02

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

54%

Over 1.5

1.85

46%

Under 1.5

2.17

27%

Over 2.5

3.70

73%

Under 2.5

1.37

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

34%

BTTS Yes

2.94

66%

BTTS No

1.51

Clean Sheet

48%

Dunkerque

2.08

35%

Bastia

2.90

Win to Nil

21%

Dunkerque

4.85

9%

Bastia

11.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.6 12.2 4.5 1.1 0.2
1 17.7 12.9 4.7 1.2 0.2
2 9.4 6.9 2.5 0.6 0.1
3 3.3 2.4 0.9 0.2
4 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.063
λ Away (xG) 0.732
Total xG 1.795
League avg home goals 1.164
League avg away goals 1.207
Dunkerque attack strength 1.079
Dunkerque defence strength 0.828
Bastia attack strength 0.733
Bastia defence strength 0.846
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 56