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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Fri 18 Apr 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Gabriel-Montpied

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estac Troyes Win

25%

Clermont Foot

4.02

32%

Draw

3.11

43%

Estac Troyes

2.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

17.6%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

16.4%

Draw

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.74

Clermont Foot xG

Total xG

1.81

1.07

Estac Troyes xG

25%
32%
43%
Clermont FootDrawEstac Troyes

4.02

25%

Home win

3.11

32%

Draw

2.33

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

54%

Over 1.5

1.85

46%

Under 1.5

2.17

27%

Over 2.5

3.70

73%

Under 2.5

1.37

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

34%

BTTS Yes

2.92

66%

BTTS No

1.52

Clean Sheet

34%

Clermont Foot

2.92

48%

Estac Troyes

2.09

Win to Nil

9%

Clermont Foot

11.72

21%

Estac Troyes

4.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.4 17.6 9.4 3.4 0.9 0.2
1 12.1 12.9 6.9 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 4.5 4.8 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.1
3 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.737
λ Away (xG) 1.071
Total xG 1.808
League avg home goals 1.406
League avg away goals 1.088
Clermont Foot attack strength 0.621
Clermont Foot defence strength 1.001
Estac Troyes attack strength 0.984
Estac Troyes defence strength 0.845
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 68