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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 22 Feb 2025

13:00

Venue

Stade Michel d'Ornano

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PAU Win

31%

Caen

3.22

30%

Draw

3.36

39%

PAU

2.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

12.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.97

Caen xG

Total xG

2.11

1.13

PAU xG

31%
30%
39%
CaenDrawPAU

3.22

31%

Home win

3.36

30%

Draw

2.55

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.37

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

32%

Caen

3.10

38%

PAU

2.65

Win to Nil

10%

Caen

9.98

15%

PAU

6.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.2 13.8 7.8 2.9 0.8 0.2
1 11.9 13.4 7.6 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 5.8 6.5 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 1.9 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.1
4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.975
λ Away (xG) 1.132
Total xG 2.107
League avg home goals 1.242
League avg away goals 1.048
Caen attack strength 0.707
Caen defence strength 1.083
PAU attack strength 0.998
PAU defence strength 1.109
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61