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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Fri 18 Apr 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Michel d'Ornano

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Caen Win

39%

Caen

2.55

32%

Draw

3.09

28%

Martigues

3.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.3%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

16.1%

Draw

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

Caen xG

Total xG

1.82

0.81

Martigues xG

39%
32%
28%
CaenDrawMartigues

2.55

39%

Home win

3.09

32%

Draw

3.51

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

54%

Over 1.5

1.85

46%

Under 1.5

2.17

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.82

65%

BTTS No

1.55

Clean Sheet

44%

Caen

2.26

36%

Martigues

2.75

Win to Nil

17%

Caen

5.77

10%

Martigues

9.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.1 13.1 5.3 1.5 0.3
1 16.3 13.3 5.4 1.5 0.3
2 8.2 6.7 2.7 0.7 0.2
3 2.8 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.010
λ Away (xG) 0.814
Total xG 1.824
League avg home goals 1.406
League avg away goals 1.088
Caen attack strength 0.776
Caen defence strength 1.148
Martigues attack strength 0.651
Martigues defence strength 0.926
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 30