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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Fri 24 Jan 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Michel d'Ornano

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Guingamp Win

33%

Caen

3.00

27%

Draw

3.76

40%

Guingamp

2.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.5%

Away win

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Caen xG

Total xG

2.56

1.35

Guingamp xG

33%
27%
40%
CaenDrawGuingamp

3.00

33%

Home win

3.76

27%

Draw

2.49

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

26%

Caen

3.86

30%

Guingamp

3.34

Win to Nil

9%

Caen

11.58

12%

Guingamp

8.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 10.5 7.1 3.2 1.1 0.3
1 9.4 12.6 8.5 3.8 1.3 0.3
2 5.6 7.6 5.1 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 2.3 3.1 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.206
λ Away (xG) 1.350
Total xG 2.556
League avg home goals 1.296
League avg away goals 1.014
Caen attack strength 0.822
Caen defence strength 1.109
Guingamp attack strength 1.200
Guingamp defence strength 1.132
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57