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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade de la Libération

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Boulogne Win

40%

Boulogne

2.50

24%

Draw

4.20

36%

Saint Etienne

2.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 2

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Boulogne xG

Total xG

3.11

1.51

Saint Etienne xG

40%
24%
36%
BoulogneDrawSaint Etienne

2.50

40%

Home win

4.20

24%

Draw

2.77

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.64

Clean Sheet

22%

Boulogne

4.51

20%

Saint Etienne

4.95

Win to Nil

9%

Boulogne

11.26

7%

Saint Etienne

13.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 6.7 5.1 2.6 1.0 0.3
1 7.2 10.8 8.1 4.1 1.5 0.5
2 5.7 8.6 6.5 3.3 1.2 0.4
3 3.1 4.6 3.5 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 1.2 1.8 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.599
λ Away (xG) 1.507
Total xG 3.106
League avg home goals 1.400
League avg away goals 1.188
Boulogne attack strength 0.871
Boulogne defence strength 1.150
Saint Etienne attack strength 1.103
Saint Etienne defence strength 1.310
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 1 / 2