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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Fri 19 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade de la Libération

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PAU Win

32%

Boulogne

3.10

28%

Draw

3.57

40%

PAU

2.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.0%

Away win

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.09

Boulogne xG

Total xG

2.34

1.25

PAU xG

32%
28%
40%
BoulogneDrawPAU

3.10

32%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

2.51

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

29%

Boulogne

3.48

34%

PAU

2.98

Win to Nil

9%

Boulogne

10.79

13%

PAU

7.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 12.0 7.5 3.1 1.0 0.2
1 10.5 13.1 8.2 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 5.8 7.2 4.5 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 2.1 2.6 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.091
λ Away (xG) 1.246
Total xG 2.337
League avg home goals 1.243
League avg away goals 1.061
Boulogne attack strength 0.748
Boulogne defence strength 1.093
PAU attack strength 1.074
PAU defence strength 1.174
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 5 / 39