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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Fri 16 Jan 2026

19:00

Venue

Stade de la Libération

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Montpellier Win

32%

Boulogne

3.11

27%

Draw

3.75

41%

Montpellier

2.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.8%

Away win

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.17

Boulogne xG

Total xG

2.53

1.36

Montpellier xG

32%
27%
41%
BoulogneDrawMontpellier

3.11

32%

Home win

3.75

27%

Draw

2.43

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

26%

Boulogne

3.90

31%

Montpellier

3.22

Win to Nil

8%

Boulogne

12.11

13%

Montpellier

7.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 10.8 7.4 3.3 1.1 0.3
1 9.3 12.7 8.6 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 5.5 7.4 5.0 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 2.1 2.9 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.170
λ Away (xG) 1.360
Total xG 2.530
League avg home goals 1.281
League avg away goals 1.181
Boulogne attack strength 0.958
Boulogne defence strength 1.506
Montpellier attack strength 0.764
Montpellier defence strength 0.953
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 18 / 18