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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Mon 15 Dec 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade de la Libération

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estac Troyes Win

23%

Boulogne

4.32

24%

Draw

4.16

53%

Estac Troyes

1.89

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.0%

Away win

1 – 2

9.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.04

Boulogne xG

Total xG

2.74

1.70

Estac Troyes xG

23%
24%
53%
BoulogneDrawEstac Troyes

4.32

23%

Home win

4.16

24%

Draw

1.89

53%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

18%

Boulogne

5.47

35%

Estac Troyes

2.83

Win to Nil

4%

Boulogne

23.64

19%

Estac Troyes

5.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 11.0 9.3 5.3 2.2 0.8
1 6.7 11.4 9.7 5.5 2.3 0.8
2 3.5 5.9 5.1 2.9 1.2 0.4
3 1.2 2.1 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.041
λ Away (xG) 1.700
Total xG 2.741
League avg home goals 1.244
League avg away goals 1.186
Boulogne attack strength 0.986
Boulogne defence strength 1.514
Estac Troyes attack strength 0.947
Estac Troyes defence strength 0.848
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 16 / 50