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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Clermont Foot cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Boulogne.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Clermont Foot beat Boulogne 1-3 at Stade de la Libération, Relegation Round, in the Ligue 2. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Boulogne 1.45 xG and Clermont Foot 1.03 xG, a combined 2.48. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. Clermont Foot outscored their 1.03 projection by 2.0. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Boulogne attack 0.85 / defence 1.15 against Clermont Foot attack 0.80 / defence 1.15, drawn from 0/34 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Boulogne 47% | Draw 26% | Clermont Foot 27%, with Boulogne to win its most likely call at 47%. The actual Clermont Foot win had been the model's second-ranked read at 27%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 45%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 71% and landed. Over 3.5 was 24% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 49% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights