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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Tue 16 Sep 2025

18:00

Venue

Stade de la Libération

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bastia Win

30%

Boulogne

3.30

34%

Draw

2.98

36%

Bastia

2.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

17.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

16.2%

Away win

1 – 0

14.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.81

Boulogne xG

Total xG

1.73

0.92

Bastia xG

30%
34%
36%
BoulogneDrawBastia

3.30

30%

Home win

2.98

34%

Draw

2.77

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

52%

Over 1.5

1.92

48%

Under 1.5

2.08

25%

Over 2.5

4.00

75%

Under 2.5

1.33

10%

Over 3.5

10.00

90%

Under 3.5

1.11

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

33%

BTTS Yes

2.99

67%

BTTS No

1.50

Clean Sheet

40%

Boulogne

2.50

44%

Bastia

2.26

Win to Nil

12%

Boulogne

8.26

16%

Bastia

6.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.7 16.2 7.5 2.3 0.5 0.1
1 14.4 13.2 6.1 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 5.9 5.4 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 1.6 1.5 0.7 0.2
4 0.3 0.3 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.814
λ Away (xG) 0.918
Total xG 1.732
League avg home goals 1.241
League avg away goals 1.075
Boulogne attack strength 0.725
Boulogne defence strength 1.196
Bastia attack strength 0.714
Bastia defence strength 0.904
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 4 / 38