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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 18 Apr 2026

19:00

Venue

Stade Armand Cesari

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Saint Etienne Win

23%

Bastia

4.39

36%

Draw

2.74

41%

Saint Etienne

2.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

18.3%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

18.0%

Draw

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.70

Bastia xG

Total xG

1.72

1.02

Saint Etienne xG

23%
36%
41%
BastiaDrawSaint Etienne

4.39

23%

Home win

2.74

36%

Draw

2.46

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

51%

Over 1.5

1.96

49%

Under 1.5

2.04

25%

Over 2.5

4.00

75%

Under 2.5

1.33

10%

Over 3.5

10.00

90%

Under 3.5

1.11

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

34%

BTTS Yes

2.96

66%

BTTS No

1.51

Clean Sheet

36%

Bastia

2.77

50%

Saint Etienne

2.01

Win to Nil

8%

Bastia

12.17

20%

Saint Etienne

4.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 18.0 18.3 9.3 3.2 0.8 0.2
1 12.5 12.8 6.5 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 4.4 4.4 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2
4 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.697
λ Away (xG) 1.020
Total xG 1.717
League avg home goals 1.207
League avg away goals 1.172
Bastia attack strength 0.626
Bastia defence strength 1.011
Saint Etienne attack strength 0.861
Saint Etienne defence strength 0.922
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 30