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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Tue 23 Sep 2025

19:30

Venue

Stade Armand Cesari

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bastia Win

44%

Bastia

2.25

26%

Draw

3.87

30%

Rodez

3.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

Bastia xG

Total xG

2.63

1.16

Rodez xG

44%
26%
30%
BastiaDrawRodez

2.25

44%

Home win

3.87

26%

Draw

3.36

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

31%

Bastia

3.18

23%

Rodez

4.37

Win to Nil

14%

Bastia

7.17

7%

Rodez

14.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 8.3 4.8 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 10.6 12.3 7.1 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.8 9.1 5.2 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.8 4.5 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.4 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.475
λ Away (xG) 1.158
Total xG 2.633
League avg home goals 1.255
League avg away goals 1.164
Bastia attack strength 1.009
Bastia defence strength 1.099
Rodez attack strength 0.905
Rodez defence strength 1.165
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40