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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Fri 5 Dec 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Armand Cesari

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

CANC

Most Likely Outcome

RED Star FC 93 Win

23%

Bastia

4.32

28%

Draw

3.63

49%

RED Star FC 93

2.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

0 – 0

10.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.85

Bastia xG

Total xG

2.24

1.38

RED Star FC 93 xG

23%
28%
49%
BastiaDrawRED Star FC 93

4.32

23%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

2.03

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.33

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

25%

Bastia

3.99

43%

RED Star FC 93

2.35

Win to Nil

6%

Bastia

17.25

21%

RED Star FC 93

4.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.7 14.8 10.2 4.7 1.6 0.5
1 9.1 12.6 8.7 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 3.9 5.4 3.7 1.7 0.6 0.2
3 1.1 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.2
4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.853
λ Away (xG) 1.384
Total xG 2.237
League avg home goals 1.288
League avg away goals 1.208
Bastia attack strength 0.814
Bastia defence strength 1.173
RED Star FC 93 attack strength 0.976
RED Star FC 93 defence strength 0.813
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49