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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Fri 21 Feb 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Armand-Césari

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bastia Win

61%

Bastia

1.65

23%

Draw

4.33

16%

RED Star FC 93

6.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.3%

Home win

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.75

Bastia xG

Total xG

2.52

0.77

RED Star FC 93 xG

61%
23%
16%
BastiaDrawRED Star FC 93

1.65

61%

Home win

4.33

23%

Draw

6.21

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.25

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

46%

Bastia

2.16

17%

RED Star FC 93

5.76

Win to Nil

28%

Bastia

3.55

3%

RED Star FC 93

35.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 6.2 2.4 0.6 0.1
1 14.1 10.8 4.2 1.1 0.2
2 12.3 9.5 3.7 0.9 0.2
3 7.2 5.5 2.1 0.5 0.1
4 3.1 2.4 0.9 0.2
5 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.751
λ Away (xG) 0.770
Total xG 2.521
League avg home goals 1.238
League avg away goals 1.086
Bastia attack strength 1.162
Bastia defence strength 0.859
RED Star FC 93 attack strength 0.825
RED Star FC 93 defence strength 1.217
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 23