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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Fri 15 Aug 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Armand Cesari

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bastia Win

54%

Bastia

1.85

23%

Draw

4.30

23%

PAU

4.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.93

Bastia xG

Total xG

3.11

1.19

PAU xG

54%
23%
23%
BastiaDrawPAU

1.85

54%

Home win

4.30

23%

Draw

4.41

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.49

Clean Sheet

31%

Bastia

3.27

15%

PAU

6.86

Win to Nil

17%

Bastia

6.06

3%

PAU

30.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 5.3 3.1 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 8.6 10.2 6.0 2.4 0.7 0.2
2 8.3 9.8 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 5.3 6.3 3.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 2.6 3.0 1.8 0.7 0.2
5 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.926
λ Away (xG) 1.186
Total xG 3.112
League avg home goals 1.525
League avg away goals 1.226
Bastia attack strength 1.117
Bastia defence strength 0.971
PAU attack strength 0.996
PAU defence strength 1.131
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 34 / 35