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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Fri 23 Jan 2026

19:00

Venue

Stade Armand Cesari

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bastia Win

39%

Bastia

2.55

33%

Draw

3.04

28%

Montpellier

3.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

16.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

16.7%

Home win

0 – 1

13.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.99

Bastia xG

Total xG

1.78

0.79

Montpellier xG

39%
33%
28%
BastiaDrawMontpellier

2.55

39%

Home win

3.04

33%

Draw

3.58

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

53%

Over 1.5

1.89

47%

Under 1.5

2.13

26%

Over 2.5

3.85

74%

Under 2.5

1.35

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

34%

BTTS Yes

2.92

66%

BTTS No

1.52

Clean Sheet

46%

Bastia

2.20

37%

Montpellier

2.70

Win to Nil

18%

Bastia

5.61

10%

Montpellier

9.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.9 13.3 5.2 1.4 0.3
1 16.7 13.2 5.2 1.4 0.3
2 8.3 6.5 2.6 0.7 0.1
3 2.7 2.2 0.9 0.2
4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.992
λ Away (xG) 0.787
Total xG 1.779
League avg home goals 1.250
League avg away goals 1.187
Bastia attack strength 0.830
Bastia defence strength 1.039
Montpellier attack strength 0.639
Montpellier defence strength 0.956
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 19