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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Bastia Win
51%
1.94
30%
3.34
19%
5.38
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
19.2%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
15.4%
Draw
1 – 1
12.0%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.25
Bastia xG
Total xG
1.87
0.62
Metz xG
BastiaDrawMetz
1.94
51%
Home win
3.34
30%
Draw
5.38
19%
Away win
Goals Markets
56%
Over 1.5
1.79
44%
Under 1.5
2.27
29%
Over 2.5
3.45
71%
Under 2.5
1.41
12%
Over 3.5
8.33
88%
Under 3.5
1.14
4%
Over 4.5
25.00
96%
Under 4.5
1.04
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
33%
BTTS Yes
3.02
67%
BTTS No
1.49
Clean Sheet
54%
1.87
29%
3.48
Win to Nil
28%
3.62
5%
18.72
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.4 | 9.6 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 19.2 | 12.0 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 12.0 | 7.5 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 5.0 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 4 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.247
λ Away (xG)
0.624
Total xG
1.871
League avg home goals
1.327
League avg away goals
1.015
Bastia attack strength
1.146
Bastia defence strength
0.869
Metz attack strength
0.707
Metz defence strength
0.821
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
58 / 20