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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Fri 7 Mar 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Armand-Césari

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bastia Win

55%

Bastia

1.83

28%

Draw

3.62

18%

Martigues

5.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.7%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

12.7%

Draw

2 – 0

12.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Bastia xG

Total xG

2.06

0.67

Martigues xG

55%
28%
18%
BastiaDrawMartigues

1.83

55%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

5.59

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.73

63%

BTTS No

1.58

Clean Sheet

51%

Bastia

1.95

25%

Martigues

4.03

Win to Nil

28%

Bastia

3.58

4%

Martigues

22.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.7 8.5 2.8 0.6 0.1
1 17.7 11.8 4.0 0.9 0.1
2 12.4 8.3 2.8 0.6 0.1
3 5.7 3.8 1.3 0.3
4 2.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.395
λ Away (xG) 0.668
Total xG 2.063
League avg home goals 1.234
League avg away goals 1.061
Bastia attack strength 1.087
Bastia defence strength 0.808
Martigues attack strength 0.780
Martigues defence strength 1.040
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 25