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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Mon 14 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade Armand-Césari

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bastia Win

49%

Bastia

2.02

30%

Draw

3.34

21%

Laval

4.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

18.0%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.6%

Draw

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Bastia xG

Total xG

1.92

0.69

Laval xG

49%
30%
21%
BastiaDrawLaval

2.02

49%

Home win

3.34

30%

Draw

4.83

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.83

65%

BTTS No

1.55

Clean Sheet

50%

Bastia

1.99

29%

Laval

3.44

Win to Nil

25%

Bastia

4.03

6%

Laval

16.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.6 10.1 3.5 0.8 0.1
1 18.0 12.4 4.3 1.0 0.2
2 11.1 7.7 2.6 0.6 0.1
3 4.6 3.2 1.1 0.3
4 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.236
λ Away (xG) 0.689
Total xG 1.925
League avg home goals 1.376
League avg away goals 1.076
Bastia attack strength 1.021
Bastia defence strength 0.711
Laval attack strength 0.901
Laval defence strength 0.880
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67