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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

13:00

Venue

Stade Armand Cesari

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bastia Win

47%

Bastia

2.15

27%

Draw

3.75

27%

Guingamp

3.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Bastia xG

Total xG

2.46

1.02

Guingamp xG

47%
27%
27%
BastiaDrawGuingamp

2.15

47%

Home win

3.75

27%

Draw

3.74

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

36%

Bastia

2.77

24%

Guingamp

4.20

Win to Nil

17%

Bastia

5.95

6%

Guingamp

15.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 8.7 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 12.3 12.6 6.4 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.0 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.2 4.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
4 1.5 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.436
λ Away (xG) 1.019
Total xG 2.455
League avg home goals 1.345
League avg away goals 1.091
Bastia attack strength 1.053
Bastia defence strength 0.968
Guingamp attack strength 0.965
Guingamp defence strength 1.014
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 37