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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Fri 13 Dec 2024

19:00

Venue

Stade Armand-Césari

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bastia Win

46%

Bastia

2.16

30%

Draw

3.31

24%

Guingamp

4.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.9%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.1%

Draw

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Bastia xG

Total xG

1.96

0.76

Guingamp xG

46%
30%
24%
BastiaDrawGuingamp

2.16

46%

Home win

3.31

30%

Draw

4.24

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.69

63%

BTTS No

1.59

Clean Sheet

47%

Bastia

2.14

30%

Guingamp

3.30

Win to Nil

22%

Bastia

4.64

7%

Guingamp

14.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.1 10.8 4.1 1.0 0.2
1 16.9 12.9 4.9 1.2 0.2
2 10.1 7.7 2.9 0.7 0.1
3 4.0 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.195
λ Away (xG) 0.762
Total xG 1.957
League avg home goals 1.352
League avg away goals 0.998
Bastia attack strength 0.832
Bastia defence strength 0.883
Guingamp attack strength 0.865
Guingamp defence strength 1.063
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53