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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Mon 16 Feb 2026

19:45

Venue

Stade Armand Cesari

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estac Troyes Win

28%

Bastia

3.52

32%

Draw

3.17

40%

Estac Troyes

2.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.8%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.0%

Draw

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.84

Bastia xG

Total xG

1.90

1.06

Estac Troyes xG

28%
32%
40%
BastiaDrawEstac Troyes

3.52

28%

Home win

3.17

32%

Draw

2.50

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.70

63%

BTTS No

1.59

Clean Sheet

35%

Bastia

2.88

43%

Estac Troyes

2.32

Win to Nil

10%

Bastia

10.12

17%

Estac Troyes

5.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.0 15.8 8.4 2.9 0.8 0.2
1 12.6 13.3 7.0 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 5.3 5.6 3.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
3 1.5 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.841
λ Away (xG) 1.057
Total xG 1.898
League avg home goals 1.173
League avg away goals 1.217
Bastia attack strength 0.711
Bastia defence strength 1.034
Estac Troyes attack strength 0.840
Estac Troyes defence strength 1.008
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 56