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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Fri 3 Oct 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Armand Cesari

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bastia Win

42%

Bastia

2.36

25%

Draw

3.97

32%

Dunkerque

3.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Bastia xG

Total xG

2.79

1.28

Dunkerque xG

42%
25%
32%
BastiaDrawDunkerque

2.36

42%

Home win

3.97

25%

Draw

3.08

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.28

Clean Sheet

28%

Bastia

3.61

22%

Dunkerque

4.49

Win to Nil

12%

Bastia

8.54

7%

Dunkerque

13.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 7.9 5.1 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 9.3 11.9 7.6 3.3 1.1 0.3
2 6.9 8.9 5.7 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 3.5 4.5 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.3 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.502
λ Away (xG) 1.285
Total xG 2.787
League avg home goals 1.278
League avg away goals 1.252
Bastia attack strength 1.054
Bastia defence strength 1.218
Dunkerque attack strength 0.842
Dunkerque defence strength 1.116
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42