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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Fri 13 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

Stade Armand Cesari

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Boulogne Win

25%

Bastia

4.07

36%

Draw

2.78

40%

Boulogne

2.53

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

18.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

17.9%

Away win

1 – 0

13.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.72

Bastia xG

Total xG

1.71

0.99

Boulogne xG

25%
36%
40%
BastiaDrawBoulogne

4.07

25%

Home win

2.78

36%

Draw

2.53

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

51%

Over 1.5

1.96

49%

Under 1.5

2.04

24%

Over 2.5

4.17

76%

Under 2.5

1.32

9%

Over 3.5

11.11

91%

Under 3.5

1.10

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

33%

BTTS Yes

2.99

67%

BTTS No

1.50

Clean Sheet

37%

Bastia

2.69

49%

Boulogne

2.05

Win to Nil

9%

Bastia

10.95

19%

Boulogne

5.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 18.1 17.9 8.9 2.9 0.7 0.1
1 13.0 12.9 6.4 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 4.7 4.6 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.2
4 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.720
λ Away (xG) 0.989
Total xG 1.709
League avg home goals 1.143
League avg away goals 1.178
Bastia attack strength 0.634
Bastia defence strength 1.025
Boulogne attack strength 0.818
Boulogne defence strength 0.993
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 26