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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Bastia Win
54%
1.85
30%
3.33
16%
6.25
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
19.1%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
14.3%
Draw
2 – 0
12.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.34
Bastia xG
Total xG
1.95
0.61
Ajaccio xG
BastiaDrawAjaccio
1.85
54%
Home win
3.33
30%
Draw
6.25
16%
Away win
Goals Markets
58%
Over 1.5
1.72
42%
Under 1.5
2.38
31%
Over 2.5
3.23
69%
Under 2.5
1.45
13%
Over 3.5
7.69
87%
Under 3.5
1.15
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
34%
BTTS Yes
2.91
66%
BTTS No
1.52
Clean Sheet
55%
1.83
26%
3.82
Win to Nil
29%
3.40
4%
23.88
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.3 | 8.6 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 19.1 | 11.6 | 3.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 12.8 | 7.8 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 5.7 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 4 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.341
λ Away (xG)
0.606
Total xG
1.947
League avg home goals
1.319
League avg away goals
1.055
Bastia attack strength
0.991
Bastia defence strength
0.889
Ajaccio attack strength
0.645
Ajaccio defence strength
1.026
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
55 / 55