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Annecy vs Metz – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 14 Dec 2024

19:00

Venue

Parc des Sports

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Annecy Win

59%

Annecy

1.69

25%

Draw

4.00

16%

Metz

6.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.1%

Home win

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Annecy xG

Total xG

2.26

0.67

Metz xG

59%
25%
16%
AnnecyDrawMetz

1.69

59%

Home win

4.00

25%

Draw

6.37

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.56

61%

BTTS No

1.64

Clean Sheet

51%

Annecy

1.96

20%

Metz

4.88

Win to Nil

30%

Annecy

3.31

3%

Metz

31.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4 7.0 2.4 0.5 0.1
1 16.6 11.2 3.8 0.8 0.1
2 13.1 8.8 3.0 0.7 0.1
3 6.9 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 2.7 1.9 0.6 0.1
5 0.9 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.585
λ Away (xG) 0.674
Total xG 2.259
League avg home goals 1.412
League avg away goals 0.982
Annecy attack strength 1.106
Annecy defence strength 0.779
Metz attack strength 0.881
Metz defence strength 1.015
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 15