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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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RED Star FC 93 cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Amiens.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

RED Star FC 93 beat Amiens 1-3 at Stade de la Licorne, Regular Season - 33, in the Ligue 2. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Amiens 1.10 xG and RED Star FC 93 1.78 xG, a combined 2.89. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. RED Star FC 93 outscored their 1.78 projection by 1.2. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Amiens attack 0.88 / defence 1.45 against RED Star FC 93 attack 1.00 / defence 1.03, drawn from 66/65 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Amiens 21% | Draw 27% | RED Star FC 93 51%, with RED Star FC 93 to win its most likely call at 51%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 55%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 80% and landed. Over 3.5 was 33% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 57% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 51% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Amiens 52%, RED Star FC 93 49%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 52%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Amiens's trading profile (65 games, 32 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did.

RED Star FC 93's trading profile (65 games, 32 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 51% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 32% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Amiens 0.98 PPG, RED Star FC 93 1.37 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the RED Star FC 93 win broke the near-deadlock. Amiens (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.53 concession average — a leakier day than usual. RED Star FC 93 (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.19 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights