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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Fri 3 Jan 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Crédit Agricole de la Licorne

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Amiens Win

42%

Amiens

2.38

29%

Draw

3.40

29%

Estac Troyes

3.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

11.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Amiens xG

Total xG

2.12

0.93

Estac Troyes xG

42%
29%
29%
AmiensDrawEstac Troyes

2.38

42%

Home win

3.40

29%

Draw

3.50

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.37

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

39%

Amiens

2.53

30%

Estac Troyes

3.30

Win to Nil

17%

Amiens

6.03

9%

Estac Troyes

11.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.9 11.1 5.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 14.3 13.3 6.2 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 8.5 7.9 3.7 1.1 0.3
3 3.4 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.195
λ Away (xG) 0.930
Total xG 2.125
League avg home goals 1.407
League avg away goals 0.975
Amiens attack strength 0.949
Amiens defence strength 1.028
Estac Troyes attack strength 0.928
Estac Troyes defence strength 0.895
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54