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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Fri 17 Jan 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Crédit Agricole de la Licorne

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Amiens Win

37%

Amiens

2.68

29%

Draw

3.44

34%

Bastia

2.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

0 – 1

10.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

Amiens xG

Total xG

2.36

1.14

Bastia xG

37%
29%
34%
AmiensDrawBastia

2.68

37%

Home win

3.44

29%

Draw

2.97

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.06

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

32%

Amiens

3.14

30%

Bastia

3.39

Win to Nil

12%

Amiens

8.41

10%

Bastia

10.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 10.8 6.2 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 11.5 13.1 7.5 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 7.0 8.0 4.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.8 3.3 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.220
λ Away (xG) 1.144
Total xG 2.364
League avg home goals 1.305
League avg away goals 1.028
Amiens attack strength 0.885
Amiens defence strength 1.188
Bastia attack strength 0.936
Bastia defence strength 1.056
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56