Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 8 Feb 2025

13:00

Venue

Stade Michel-Moretti

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ajaccio Win

36%

Ajaccio

2.75

28%

Draw

3.58

36%

Guingamp

2.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

0 – 1

11.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Ajaccio xG

Total xG

2.36

1.17

Guingamp xG

36%
28%
36%
AjaccioDrawGuingamp

2.75

36%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

2.80

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

31%

Ajaccio

3.23

31%

Guingamp

3.27

Win to Nil

11%

Ajaccio

8.90

11%

Guingamp

9.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 11.1 6.5 2.5 0.7 0.2
1 11.2 13.2 7.7 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 6.6 7.8 4.6 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 2.6 3.1 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.185
λ Away (xG) 1.173
Total xG 2.358
League avg home goals 1.272
League avg away goals 1.014
Ajaccio attack strength 0.899
Ajaccio defence strength 1.009
Guingamp attack strength 1.147
Guingamp defence strength 1.036
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59