Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Mon 3 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade Michel-Moretti

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Dunkerque Win

33%

Ajaccio

3.04

28%

Draw

3.58

39%

Dunkerque

2.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.8%

Away win

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Ajaccio xG

Total xG

2.35

1.24

Dunkerque xG

33%
28%
39%
AjaccioDrawDunkerque

3.04

33%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

2.55

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

29%

Ajaccio

3.46

33%

Dunkerque

3.04

Win to Nil

10%

Ajaccio

10.50

13%

Dunkerque

7.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 11.8 7.3 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 10.6 13.1 8.1 3.4 1.0 0.3
2 5.9 7.3 4.5 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 2.2 2.7 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.111
λ Away (xG) 1.240
Total xG 2.351
League avg home goals 1.235
League avg away goals 1.054
Ajaccio attack strength 0.976
Ajaccio defence strength 1.047
Dunkerque attack strength 1.123
Dunkerque defence strength 0.922
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62