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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Fri 4 Apr 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Michel-Moretti

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ajaccio Win

50%

Ajaccio

2.01

26%

Draw

3.82

24%

Amiens

4.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

2 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

Ajaccio xG

Total xG

2.44

0.95

Amiens xG

50%
26%
24%
AjaccioDrawAmiens

2.01

50%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

4.16

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

39%

Ajaccio

2.59

23%

Amiens

4.44

Win to Nil

19%

Ajaccio

5.19

5%

Amiens

18.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 8.3 3.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 13.0 12.3 5.9 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 9.7 9.2 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 4.8 4.6 2.2 0.7 0.2
4 1.8 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.491
λ Away (xG) 0.950
Total xG 2.441
League avg home goals 1.365
League avg away goals 1.039
Ajaccio attack strength 0.939
Ajaccio defence strength 1.123
Amiens attack strength 0.814
Amiens defence strength 1.163
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66