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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sat 6 Dec 2025

18:00

Venue

Stadium de Toulouse

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Toulouse Win

45%

Toulouse

2.24

23%

Draw

4.34

32%

Strasbourg

3.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

1 – 2

7.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.76

Toulouse xG

Total xG

3.23

1.47

Strasbourg xG

45%
23%
32%
ToulouseDrawStrasbourg

2.24

45%

Home win

4.34

23%

Draw

3.09

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.76

Clean Sheet

23%

Toulouse

4.36

17%

Strasbourg

5.81

Win to Nil

10%

Toulouse

9.79

6%

Strasbourg

17.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 5.8 4.3 2.1 0.8 0.2
1 6.9 10.2 7.5 3.7 1.4 0.4
2 6.1 9.0 6.6 3.3 1.2 0.4
3 3.6 5.3 3.9 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.6 2.3 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.760
λ Away (xG) 1.473
Total xG 3.233
League avg home goals 1.623
League avg away goals 1.180
Toulouse attack strength 0.956
Toulouse defence strength 1.113
Strasbourg attack strength 1.122
Strasbourg defence strength 1.135
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48