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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 12 Jan 2025

16:15

Venue

Stadium de Toulouse

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Toulouse Win

44%

Toulouse

2.28

28%

Draw

3.64

29%

Strasbourg

3.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Toulouse xG

Total xG

2.85

1.25

Strasbourg xG

44%
28%
29%
ToulouseDrawStrasbourg

2.28

44%

Home win

3.64

28%

Draw

3.50

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.71

42%

BTTS No

2.40

Clean Sheet

29%

Toulouse

3.50

20%

Strasbourg

4.93

Win to Nil

13%

Toulouse

7.97

6%

Strasbourg

17.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 7.3 4.5 1.9 0.6 0.1
1 9.2 11.6 7.3 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.4 9.2 5.8 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 3.9 4.9 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.6 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.596
λ Away (xG) 1.253
Total xG 2.849
League avg home goals 1.574
League avg away goals 1.295
Toulouse attack strength 0.864
Toulouse defence strength 0.869
Strasbourg attack strength 1.114
Strasbourg defence strength 1.174
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50