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Toulouse vs Saint Etienne – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Fri 13 Dec 2024

19:45

Venue

Stadium de Toulouse

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Toulouse Win

76%

Toulouse

1.32

16%

Draw

6.11

8%

Saint Etienne

13.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

13.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

3 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.44

Toulouse xG

Total xG

3.11

0.67

Saint Etienne xG

76%
16%
ToulouseDrawSaint Etienne

1.32

76%

Home win

6.11

16%

Draw

13.07

8%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

51%

Toulouse

1.95

9%

Saint Etienne

11.52

Win to Nil

39%

Toulouse

2.57

1%

Saint Etienne

150.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 3.0 1.0 0.2
1 10.9 7.3 2.4 0.5 0.1
2 13.3 8.9 3.0 0.7 0.1
3 10.8 7.2 2.4 0.5 0.1
4 6.6 4.4 1.5 0.3 0.1
5 3.2 2.2 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.444
λ Away (xG) 0.668
Total xG 3.112
League avg home goals 1.488
League avg away goals 1.279
Toulouse attack strength 0.925
Toulouse defence strength 0.818
Saint Etienne attack strength 0.638
Saint Etienne defence strength 1.775
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 14