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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

18:00

Venue

Stadium de Toulouse

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rennes Win

28%

Toulouse

3.63

22%

Draw

4.47

50%

Rennes

2.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.4%

Away win

0 – 1

7.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Toulouse xG

Total xG

3.28

1.91

Rennes xG

28%
22%
50%
ToulouseDrawRennes

3.63

28%

Home win

4.47

22%

Draw

2.00

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.75

Clean Sheet

15%

Toulouse

6.76

25%

Rennes

3.94

Win to Nil

4%

Toulouse

24.53

13%

Rennes

7.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 7.2 6.9 4.4 2.1 0.8
1 5.1 9.8 9.4 6.0 2.9 1.1
2 3.5 6.7 6.4 4.1 2.0 0.7
3 1.6 3.1 2.9 1.9 0.9 0.3
4 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.372
λ Away (xG) 1.911
Total xG 3.283
League avg home goals 1.485
League avg away goals 1.404
Toulouse attack strength 0.856
Toulouse defence strength 1.128
Rennes attack strength 1.207
Rennes defence strength 1.080
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65