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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 21 Feb 2026

18:00

Venue

Stadium de Toulouse

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Toulouse Win

47%

Toulouse

2.11

27%

Draw

3.77

26%

Paris FC

3.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

2 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Toulouse xG

Total xG

2.44

1.00

Paris FC xG

47%
27%
26%
ToulouseDrawParis FC

2.11

47%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

3.83

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

37%

Toulouse

2.71

24%

Paris FC

4.23

Win to Nil

17%

Toulouse

5.73

6%

Paris FC

16.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 8.7 4.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 12.6 12.5 6.3 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.1 9.0 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 4.4 4.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
4 1.6 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.442
λ Away (xG) 0.998
Total xG 2.440
League avg home goals 1.507
League avg away goals 1.209
Toulouse attack strength 0.986
Toulouse defence strength 0.981
Paris FC attack strength 0.841
Paris FC defence strength 0.970
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 22