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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 17 Jan 2026

18:00

Venue

Stadium de Toulouse

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Toulouse Win

45%

Toulouse

2.22

25%

Draw

4.02

30%

Nice

3.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

Toulouse xG

Total xG

2.80

1.23

Nice xG

45%
25%
30%
ToulouseDrawNice

2.22

45%

Home win

4.02

25%

Draw

3.33

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.27

Clean Sheet

29%

Toulouse

3.42

21%

Nice

4.79

Win to Nil

13%

Toulouse

7.59

6%

Nice

15.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 7.5 4.6 1.9 0.6 0.1
1 9.6 11.8 7.2 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.5 9.2 5.7 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.9 4.8 3.0 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.5 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.566
λ Away (xG) 1.231
Total xG 2.797
League avg home goals 1.528
League avg away goals 1.193
Toulouse attack strength 0.866
Toulouse defence strength 1.117
Nice attack strength 0.924
Nice defence strength 1.183
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51