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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Fri 2 Jan 2026

19:45

Venue

Stadium de Toulouse

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lens Win

34%

Toulouse

2.96

26%

Draw

3.79

40%

Lens

2.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.2%

Away win

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Toulouse xG

Total xG

2.59

1.36

Lens xG

34%
26%
40%
ToulouseDrawLens

2.96

34%

Home win

3.79

26%

Draw

2.51

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

26%

Toulouse

3.90

29%

Lens

3.42

Win to Nil

9%

Toulouse

11.56

12%

Lens

8.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 10.2 6.9 3.1 1.1 0.3
1 9.2 12.5 8.5 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 5.7 7.7 5.3 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 2.3 3.2 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.230
λ Away (xG) 1.361
Total xG 2.591
League avg home goals 1.620
League avg away goals 1.145
Toulouse attack strength 0.901
Toulouse defence strength 1.007
Lens attack strength 1.180
Lens defence strength 0.842
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50