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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sun 2 Nov 2025

16:15

Venue

Stadium de Toulouse

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Toulouse Win

53%

Toulouse

1.87

21%

Draw

4.80

26%

Le Havre

3.89

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.7%

Draw

2 – 2

6.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.13

Toulouse xG

Total xG

3.56

1.43

Le Havre xG

53%
21%
26%
ToulouseDrawLe Havre

1.87

53%

Home win

4.80

21%

Draw

3.89

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

48%

Over 3.5

2.08

52%

Under 3.5

1.92

29%

Over 4.5

3.45

71%

Under 4.5

1.41

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.49

33%

BTTS No

3.04

Clean Sheet

24%

Toulouse

4.19

12%

Le Havre

8.39

Win to Nil

13%

Toulouse

7.84

3%

Le Havre

32.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8 4.1 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.1
1 6.0 8.7 6.2 3.0 1.1 0.3
2 6.4 9.2 6.6 3.2 1.1 0.3
3 4.6 6.5 4.7 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 2.4 3.5 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.127
λ Away (xG) 1.433
Total xG 3.560
League avg home goals 1.727
League avg away goals 1.244
Toulouse attack strength 1.151
Toulouse defence strength 1.228
Le Havre attack strength 0.938
Le Havre defence strength 1.070
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44