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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade de la Meinau

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Toulouse Win

31%

Strasbourg

3.18

28%

Draw

3.60

41%

Toulouse

2.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.1%

Away win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Strasbourg xG

Total xG

2.49

1.34

Toulouse xG

31%
28%
41%
StrasbourgDrawToulouse

3.18

31%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

2.45

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

26%

Strasbourg

3.83

32%

Toulouse

3.15

Win to Nil

8%

Strasbourg

12.19

13%

Toulouse

7.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 11.1 7.5 3.3 1.1 0.3
1 9.5 12.8 8.6 3.8 1.3 0.3
2 5.5 7.3 4.9 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.1 2.8 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.147
λ Away (xG) 1.343
Total xG 2.490
League avg home goals 1.484
League avg away goals 1.384
Strasbourg attack strength 0.988
Strasbourg defence strength 0.811
Toulouse attack strength 1.197
Toulouse defence strength 0.782
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59