Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

16:00

Venue

Stade de la Meinau

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

29%

Strasbourg

3.50

21%

Draw

4.70

50%

Paris Saint Germain

1.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.6%

Draw

2 – 2

6.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Strasbourg xG

Total xG

3.62

2.08

Paris Saint Germain xG

29%
21%
50%
StrasbourgDrawParis Saint Germain

3.50

29%

Home win

4.70

21%

Draw

1.99

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

70%

Over 2.5

1.43

30%

Under 2.5

3.33

49%

Over 3.5

2.04

51%

Under 3.5

1.96

30%

Over 4.5

3.33

70%

Under 4.5

1.43

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.45

31%

BTTS No

3.21

Clean Sheet

12%

Strasbourg

8.02

21%

Paris Saint Germain

4.67

Win to Nil

4%

Strasbourg

28.10

11%

Paris Saint Germain

9.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.7 5.6 5.8 4.0 2.1 0.9
1 4.1 8.6 8.9 6.2 3.2 1.3
2 3.2 6.6 6.9 4.8 2.5 1.0
3 1.6 3.4 3.5 2.4 1.3 0.5
4 0.6 1.3 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.541
λ Away (xG) 2.082
Total xG 3.623
League avg home goals 1.481
League avg away goals 1.412
Strasbourg attack strength 1.223
Strasbourg defence strength 0.900
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.638
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.850
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65